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Newcastle-Bournemouth
Pick: Newcastle @1.95
Newcastle, who has only lost to City in their last six matches, comes into the game in good form and is generally the stronger team on paper. Bournemouth had a good game against Fulham last week, controlling the match, but only managed to convert 4 out of 25 goal attempts. Their expected goals were 2.3, but they still lost the match 3-1. It wasn’t a completely deserved result. Unfortunately, they can’t afford such wastefulness against Newcastle. I trust the home team to win more than what the odds suggest.
Fulham-Aston Villa
Pick: Aston Villa @2.38
Aston Villa, the sensation of the season, deserves a lot of respect in my book with their refreshing playing style. They deserved even more from the match against Manchester United last week, but this time ManU was more efficient. Fulham managed to get a win with a weak performance last week because Bournemouth couldn’t score a goal from anywhere. This won’t happen against Aston Villa. In order for the home team to have any chance in the match, they need to improve significantly from last week. Aston Villa should have enough for a so-called routine job here.
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